国际麻醉学与复苏杂志   2023, Issue (12): 0-0
    
基于logistic回归模型和CHAID决策树模型的单肺通气期间低氧血症影响因素分析
朱修锦, 岳维, 李晶, 王静1()
1.山西医科大学
Analysis of the influencing factors of hypoxemia during one‑lung ventilation based on logistic regression model and Chi‑squared automatic interaction detector decision tree model
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摘要:

目的 借助logistic回归模型和χ2自动交互检测法(Chi‑squared automatic interaction detector, CHAID)决策树模型探讨单肺通气(one‑lung ventilation, OLV)期间发生低氧血症的影响因素及其相互关系。 方法 选取2021年10月—2022年6月在山西医科大学第二医院行OLV胸科手术的患者142例,收集患者性别、年龄、BMI、Hb水平、吸烟史、手术侧(左/右)、第一秒用力呼气量(forced expiratory volume in first second, FEV1)、第一秒用力呼气量占用力肺活量百分率(percentage of forced expiratory volume in first second to forced vital capacity, FEV1/FVC)、自主通气时PaO2、侧卧位10 min时PaO2、侧卧位10 min时依赖肺和非依赖肺呼气末二氧化碳分压差值(d‑PETCO2)等资料。根据OLV期间是否发生过低氧血症将患者分为低氧血症组(23例)和未发生低氧血症组(119例)。对两组患者的变量资料进行单因素关联性分析,其中P<0.05的变量用于构建logistic回归模型和CHAID决策树模型,分析胸科手术患者OLV期间发生低氧血症的影响因素及其相互关系。 结果 142例行OLV胸科手术的患者中,低氧血症的发生率为16.20%(23/142),单因素关联性分析显示BMI、手术侧(左/右)、FEV1/FVC、侧卧位10 min时PaO2和d‑PETCO2与低氧血症的发生有一定的相关性。进一步logistic建模结果提示:侧卧位10 min时d‑PETCO2[比值比(odds ratio, OR) 0.52,95%CI 0.36~0.75,P<0.001]、FEV1/FVC(OR 0.82,95%CI 0.70~0.97,P=0.016),侧卧位10 min时PaO2(OR=0.98,95%CI 0.96~1.00,P=0.018)对低氧血症发生的影响有统计学意义。CHAID决策树结果提示:侧卧位10 min时d‑PETCO2、FEV1/FVC和BMI是低氧血症结局发生的影响因素,树的首层是根据患者侧卧位10 min时d‑PETCO2的水平划分,树的第二层对于侧卧位10 min时d‑PETCO2在(1,4]之间或者>4的患者分别根据BMI和FEV1/FVC水平进行划分,侧卧位10 min时d‑PETCO2和FEV1/FVC、侧卧位10 min时d‑PETCO2和BMI之间分别存在相互作用。 结论 侧卧位10 min时d‑PETCO2和FEV1/FVC对OLV期间低氧血症的发生具有重要的预测价值,且两者之间存在一定相互关系。logistic回归模型和CHAID决策树模型之间互为验证,能更高效地识别出OLV期间发生低氧血症的高危人群。

关键词: 单肺通气; 低氧血症; 临床预测模型; logistic回归; 决策树
Abstract:

Objective To discuss the influencing factors of hypoxemia during one‑lung ventilation (OLV) by logistic regression model and Chi‑squared automatic interaction detector (CHAID) decision tree model and their relationship. Methods A total of 142 patients who underwent OLV thoracic surgery in the Second Hospital of Shanxi Medical University from October 2021 to June 2022 were selected. Their gender, age, body mass index (BMI), hemoglobin (Hb) level, smoking history, operation side (left/right), forced expiratory volume in first second (FEV1), percentage of forced expiratory volume in first second to forced vital capacity ratio (FEV1/FVC), arterial partial pressure of oxygen (PaO2) during spontaneous ventilation, PaO2 in the lateral position for 10 min, and the difference in end‑expiratory partial pressure of carbon dioxide (d‑PETCO2) between the dependent lung and the non‑dependent lung in the lateral position for 10 min were collected. According to the occurrence of hypoxemia during OLV, the patients were divided into two groups: a hypoxemia group (n=23) and a non‑hypoxemia group (n=119). Univariate correlation analysis was performed using the variable data of the two groups, where those with P<0.05 were used to construct a logistic regression model and a CHAID decision tree model, in order to explore the influencing factors of hypoxemia during OLV in patients undergoing thoracic surgery. Results Among 142 patients undergoing OLV thoracic surgery, the incidence of hypoxemia was 16.20% (23/142). Univariate correlation analysis indicated that BMI, operation side (left/right), FEV1/FVC, and PaO2 and d‑PETCO2 values in the lateral position for 10 min were related to hypoxemia. Furthermore, logistic regression analysis showed that d‑PETCO2 in the lateral position for 10 min [odds ratio (OR) 0.52, (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.36, 0.75), P<0.001], FEV1/FVC [OR 0.82, (95%CI 0.70, 0.97), P=0.016], and PaO2 in the lateral position for 10 min [OR 0.98, (95%CI 0.96, 1.00), P=0.018] had statistical effect on the occurrence of hypoxemia. The CHAID decision tree suggested that d‑PETCO2 in the lateral position for 10 min, FEV1/FVC and BMI were the influencing factors for hypoxemia. The first layer of the tree was divided according to d‑PETCO2 value in the lateral position for 10 min, and the second layer of the tree was divided according to BMI and FEV1/FVC ratio for patients whose d‑PETCO2 was between (1, 4] or >4. There were interactions between d‑PETCO2 in the lateral position for 10 min and FEV1/FVC, and d‑PETCO2 in the lateral position for 10 min and BMI, respectively. Conclusions d‑PETCO2 in the lateral position for 10 min and FEV1/FVC have important predictive value for the occurrence of hypoxemia during OLV, and there is a certain relationship between them. The logistic regression model and the CHAID decision tree model are mutually verified, which can efficiently identify hypoxemia high‑risk populations during OLV.

Key words: One lung ventilation; Hypoxemia; Clinical prediction model; Logistic regression; Decision tree