国际麻醉学与复苏杂志   2023, Issue (12): 0-0
    
红细胞体积分布宽度对脓毒症相关谵妄患者入ICU后28 d全因死亡的预测价值:基于MIMIC‑Ⅳ数据库的回顾性队列研究
朱雅琳, 黄捷, 王嘉锋, 邓小明1()
1.海军军医大学第一附属医院
Predictive value of red cell volume distribution width in 28⁃day all⁃cause mortality after intensive care unit admission in sepsis⁃associated delirium patients: a retrospective cohort study based on the MIMIC-IV database
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摘要:

目的 探讨红细胞体积分布宽度(red cell volume distribution width, RDW)与脓毒症相关谵妄(sepsis‑associated delirium, SAD)患者入ICU后28 d内预后的相关性。 方法 选取2008 年至 2019 年重症监护医学数据库(Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Ⅳ, MIMIC‑Ⅳ)中首次入ICU且被诊断为SAD的患者。根据受试者操作特征曲线确定RDW的最佳截点,将SAD患者分为低RDW组(RDW≤16.15,4 014例)和高RDW组(RDW>16.15,1 270例)。采用Kaplan‑Meier法绘制患者入ICU后28 d内的生存曲线。RDW与患者预后的相关性采用多因素Cox回归分析。采用限制性立方样条分析SAD患者RDW水平与入ICU后28 d全因死亡风险的非线性关系。 结果 共纳入SAD患者5 284例,入ICU后28 d全因死亡率为14.5%。高RDW组患者的死亡率显著高于低RDW组(25.0%比11.2%,P<0.001)。Kaplan‑Meier曲线显示,高RDW组SAD患者的入ICU后28 d累积生存率与低RDW组比较显著降低(P<0.001)。多因素Cox回归分析表明,RDW升高(>16.15)是SAD患者入ICU后28 d 发生全因死亡的独立因素[风险比(hazard ratio, HR) 1.90,95% CI 1.64~2.19,P<0.001];即使在调整年龄、性别、种族、合并症、体征、评分和实验室指标后,这种关联仍然具有统计学意义(HR 1.54,95% CI 1.30~2.83,P<0.001)。SAD患者入ICU后28 d全因死亡风险随RDW的增加而增加,呈非线性趋势。 结论 RDW升高预示着SAD患者入ICU后短期死亡风险较高。

关键词: 红细胞体积分布宽度;脓毒症;谵妄;重症监护治疗病房;近期预后;病死率
Abstract:

Objective To explore the association between red cell volume distribution width (RDW) and the 28‑day prognosis of patients with sepsis‑associated delirium (SAD) following intensive care unit (ICU) admission. Methods According to the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Ⅳ (MIMIC‑Ⅳ) Database, patients who were first admitted to ICU and diagnosed with SAD from 2008 and 2019 were selected. The optimal cutoff value for RDW was determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis, and SAD patients were divided into two groups: a low RDW group (RDW≤16.15, n=4 014) and a high RDW group (RDW>16.15, n=1 270). Kaplan‑Meier curve was plotted to construct survival curves for patients within 28 d of ICU admission. The association between RDW and patient prognosis was assessed by multivariate Cox regression analysis. Furthermore, the nonlinear relationship between RDW levels in SAD patients and the risk of all‑cause mortality within 28 d of ICU admission was explored using restricted cubic splines. Results A total of 5 284 patients diagnosed with SAD were included in the study, with an observed all‑cause mortality rate of 14.5% within 28 d of ICU admission. The high RDW group exhibited a significantly higher mortality rate compared to the low RDW group (25.0% vs 11.2%, P<0.001). The Kaplan‑Meier curve demonstrated a substantial reduction in cumulative survival rate at 28 d following ICU admission among patients in the high RDW group, as compared to the low RDW group (P<0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that elevated RDW (>16.15) independently contributed to ICU mortality in patients with SAD, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.90 [(95% confidence interval (CI) 1.64, 2.19), P<0.001]. This association remained statistically significant even after adjusting for covariates such as age, sex, ethnicity, comorbidities, signs, scores, and laboratory measures [HR 1.54 (95% CI 1.30,2.83), P<0.001]. Furthermore, a nonlinear trend was observed, indicating an increased risk of all‑cause mortality at 28 days following ICU admission with higher RDW values. Conclusions Elevated RDW is a predictor of increased short‑term mortality following ICU admission in patients with SAD.

Key words: Red cell volume distribution width; Sepsis; Delirium; Intensive care unit; Short‑term prognosis; Fatality rate